‘Taming’ MR’s white elephant
23 December 2016Our lead story yesterday was that the Chinese firm, which, presumably will be given/one of President Mahinda Rajapaksa's white elephant projects, namely the Hambantota Port project, is on the undertaking that it will not be used for military purposes. Rajapaksa's costly white elephant projects such as the Hambantota Port is a cost to each of the island's 21.1 million citizens. It's a cost, because it was built after obtaining a multi-million US dollar loan from China. And it was not a concessional loan, but a commercial loan.
It's also a cost, because there is no return on investment (ROI) from this port. There is no ROI because there is no market for such a port. When J.R. Jayewardene developed Colombo Port, he had a market in mind, namely India. And Jayewardene's investment paid dividends. West of Singapore, in the Afro-Asian region, it may not be wrong to say that Colombo and Dubai are the only transshipment ports in that part of the world's geographical locality.
Only Rajapaksa knows, apart from Hambantota being the 'Rajapaksa' electorate, as to why an international seaport was built in Hambantota, when his own electorate is also taxed to repay this commercial loan for this white elephant project of his. The reason for giving the Chinese the port is, as the collateral 'seized' or taken over, because of the Government of Sri Lanka's (GoSL's) inability to repay this debt. That is a prudent move by GoSL. Another Rajapaksa white elephant is the Mattala International Airport, once more built with commercial loan money from China, with no market to cater to.
Considering global sensitivities, firstly from India, and then from the USA, it was a prudent move by GoSL to tell the Chinese that the Port should not be used for military purposes. Two other factors may need to be cleared. Is this Chinese 'firm' which has been 'allowed to seize its collateral' for the 'non-repayment' of the Hambantota Port loan and possibly as repayment for other of Rajapaksa's white elephant Chinese commercial loans as well, to be operated by a Chinese private sector company or a Chinese State-owned enterprise?
According to Professor Razeen Sally, a Sri Lankan working as an associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore, Chinese state capitalists invest in a country with strings attached, whereas in the case of the Chinese entrepreneurial class, which was professional, that that was no so. (Ceylon FT of 22 December, 2015). With virtually all of the commercial loans taken from China by Rajapaksa being from Beijing, i.e. the Chinese State, naturally, the Hambantota Port may not be an exception, i.e. that money for that investment too having had been obtained from the Chinese State and not from a Chinese private bank or a public quoted bank in China where the majority ownership is with the public and not by the Chinese Government.
Therefore, for all intents and purposes that 'Chinese firm' referred to in the lead story of this newspaper's yesterday's edition is that that Chinese investor in question is a firm controlled by the Chinese State and not by its private sector. Sally at a lecture delivered in Colombo on Tuesday (20 December) warned that dabbling with China's State capitalism risks creating an oligarchy in Colombo/Sri Lanka. Theirs (Chinese State's) is a 'no holds' barred operation, the speaker, an economist by profession, inferred.
Our lead story quoting Development Strategies and International Trade Minister Malik Samarawickrama said that the government has informed the Chinese that the port couldn't be used for military purposes. Telling them that may not be enough, Samarawickrama may also have to go that extra mile by not only informing that Chinese company that the Hambantota facility cannot be used for military purposes, but also get a written guarantee from that 'firm' that it will not be used for such a purpose. Probably, a tall order on poor Samarawickrama's shoulders given the economic stagnation that the country is facing and China being the only possible source available to come to Colombo's succour.
Sally, in the course of his speech, said that Sri Lanka acts in such a way as if the whole world owes it a favour. But, if the rest of the world doesn't act in its favour, one cannot find fault with Samarawickrama by not asking for a written guarantee from Beijing that Hambantota will be a demilitarized port.
If such a request meets with a rebuttal, whom else can Colombo turn to? 'If you can't beat them, join them.' That was Jayewardene's Delhi doctrine after the Indian military violated Sri Lanka's air space in July 1987. One cannot fault Colombo if it acts that way too vis-à-vis Beijing, if in the event the whole world turns a blind eye to Sri Lanka economic woes.