HAMBANTOTA – THE FREEDOM SWAP?
05 April 2017Applying psychological principles to political strategies is an art in the realm of political science that leaders of the Joint Opposition have excelled in, on and off.
But perhaps none has to date matched the move by the Joint Opposition led by Mahinda Rajapaksa as the sustained opposition to the government's decision to hand over 20,000 acres of land for two massive development projects in Hambantota, to China.
A keen Indian commentator said a week ago that this sounded more like an iron fist in a velvet glove than a kind hand stretching out to help a friend in need.
A massive part of Sri Lanka is to be tied down for a century to China. Forget the US$1.5 Billion investment planned under the still pending final agreement. What's important in this ill-thought out debt-equity swap is the fact that China's foothold and influence in the Indian Ocean via this 20,000- acre lease will go on for 99 years...that's about 70 years after the current lot of leaders in Sri Lanka are dead and a totally unknown political power will be in control of Lanka's destinies from around 2035 onwards.
By then, geopolitical changes in this region would have taken on massive new features and a future government that's China-centric will change the "purely economic nature" of the Hambantota project into a sprawling military structure posing immense dangers to the security interests of India and other countries who perceive that China has ulterior motives behind her strangling Sri Lanka into a debt-equity swap. Only a fool will accord any validity to the government's claim that the Hambantota fiasco is a purely economic arrangement. Stuff and nonsense! For the government to insist on this stance is a deliberate insult to the intelligence of the leaders in India and the US as well as other nations whose mammoth quantum of shipping passes through Colombo's port.
The dry run made by the Joint Opposition by way of its protests against the Hambantota project was merely a feint to be followed up with a huge protest IF INDIA TOO WAS GIVEN A PROJECT IN HAMBANTOTA OR ANYWHERE IN THE SOUTH. In fact, the Prime Minister has made it very plain in comments to the media here and abroad that Trincomalee is for India and this has been seen by Lanka watchers in India as meaning that China has for some unknown rationale been allowed to call the tune in Hambantota, where over the years, she can establish a virtual satellite State in the South from which vantage point, in over 20 years from today, the economic project can metamorphose into a menacing presence to India and other nations, thus virtually laying the groundwork for a mammoth security threat to India at her very doorstep and a bigger threat to international shipping that passes through the Indian ocean. This is very much on the cards when one considers that the Rajapaksas are waiting in the wings to grab that power...and if and when that happens, the security dynamics in the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea would experience a massive shift that will see China ensconced in this region courtesy of the totally ill-thought out project that is all but signed between China and Sri Lanka.
We said last week that Sri Lanka will be swapping more than just debt for equity, with China on the Hambantota project issue. We said there would be this groundswell of a geopolitical shift in the security architecture of the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea regions.
By then, perhaps less than 20 years from today, the government's decision on Hambantota will be an opening of a door of opportunity that will spell massive danger to the security interests of our neighbour India. That's when naïve, flippant reasons, given to justify this Hambantota project, would have done their damage.
The President has spoken of a need to have more discussions with the Chinese prior to signing away the future of Indian security, Indian ocean security to be exact, and one would be morally impelled to sound a warning that Sri Lanka, in fact no one country, can anymore hide behind flippant phrases such as sovereignty in such deeply important matters which seriously impinge on the sovereignty of neighbouring nations.
As mentioned earlier on, today's leaders, will pass on, having bequeathed what to future generations, to our neighbours? The government needs to get its act together and demonstrate a deeper sense of regional responsibility in entering into agreements which have within themselves factors which will be exploited to the full against the security interests of Sri Lanka's neighbours and friends.
The square mile area intended to be given to China is exactly ten times the land area of the little former USSR border State of Montenegro that has a population of only 98,000 at the last census and is 2,000 square miles in extent.
Fools rush in........