Winning the West
13 January 2017The European Commission (EC) has proposed the restitution of the lost GSP + facility to Sri Lanka. This was the lead story of this newspaper on its yesterday's edition. After going through the formal process of keeping this restitution open allegedly for four months for any objections, it's therefore more than likely that GSP + will be restituted either in April or March.
Nonetheless, German Embassy's Deputy Chief of Mission Dr. Michael Dohmen speaking at the Sri Lanka-Germany Business Council AGM which was held at a leading Colombo hote on 9 November said, the final outcome will be confirmed between March and May 2017.(Ceylon Today of 10 November, 2016)
Sri Lanka obtained the GSP+ duty free facility in its exports to the European Union (EU), its largest single export market in July 2005, in the aftermath of the December 2004 tsunami, only to lose this concession five years later in August 2010 for the non-investigation of alleged war crimes committed by the Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) and its agents, especially in the closing stages of its war against LTTE terrorism, which war concluded on 18 May, 2009. The EU is Sri Lanka's largest export market, followed by USA, its second largest market. It may not be wrong to say that the EU is the tail wagging the dog (USA).
In that context, a few days after Dohmen's speech, US Ambassador to Sri Lanka Atul Keshap speaking at the inaugural Sri Lanka-USA Business Council meeting that took place at a Colombo hotel on 29 November said, US-Sri Lanka relations are at an all time high, especially after 8 January 2015. (Ceylon Today's editorial of 1 December, 2016).
Therefore, taking into consideration such developments, it's unsurprising that Sri Lanka is more than on track to once more enjoy the duty free GSP+ facility in its exports to the EU, in a few months, if not in a few weeks.
There is a pattern to the West's benign method of treating Sri Lanka, post 8 January, 2015. Firstly, it was the lifting of the fishery ban in exports to the EU in April, a ban which was imposed in October 2014 for alleged poaching at the 'height' of the Mahinda Rajapaksa regime, a man whom the West treated as being an obnoxious personality.
The fishery ban followed four years after the GSP+ ban. On the other hand, post 8 January, 2015, concrete steps have been taken by the EC, the political arm of the EU, to restore the GSP+ facility, nine months after lifting the fishery ban. And, these may not be the last of such steps taken by the West to support President Maithripala Sirisena and Premier Ranil Wickremesinghe's Unity Government.
After Sri Lanka gained the GSP+ facility in July 2005, it boosted Sri Lanka's garment exports, its single largest merchandise export, as well as fishery, ceramic ware and tyre exports. Though, garments were able to survive despite its loss five years later.
Loss of the GSP + concession meant the loss of export earnings, jobs,investment opportunities and therewith job creation. But the restoration of this may mean the regaining of all of those lost economic opportunities after nearly seven years. The other political hurdle that Sri Lanka has to surmount is 'Geneva and human rights'vis-à-vis the LTTE/Tamil question.
According to the Office of the Human Rights Commission's (OHRC's) website, this issue will once more crop up at the 28th session of its Universal Period Review Working Group to be held in October-November 2017, in Geneva. The bone of contention here is foreign jurists sitting over judgment of Sri Lanka over this issue, to which Colombo, together with Washington, was a co-signatory in October 2015.
Nonetheless, subsequently, both Wickremesinghe and Sirisena have said, there is no need for foreign jurists, though there has been some vacillation by the former on this score. A report commissioned by former President Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga as the island's Reconciliation Office's head has had however recommended the inclusion of foreign jurists, which report handing over, almost coincided with the EC giving the green light for the restoration of the GSP+ facility.
With the seemingly surprising regime change in the USA after President-elect Donald Trump's victory at the November Presidential Election, Sirisena wrote to the US administration to rescind these investigations involving foreign jurists. When this newspaper asked Keshap what was Washington's response to this plea, an apparently agitated Keshap in reply said, he hadn't studied this plea as he had been travelling. This was on 29 November ('Ceylon Today's' editorial of 1 December, 2016).
Since then, Keshap seems to have gone into hibernation, shunning the public eye. But with Rajapaksa beating the war drums over this issue as he has everything to lose if the Unity Government doesn't topple, it's more than likely that this 'foreign jurists'' question may die a natural death, at least this fall, in Geneva.